Oklahoma and Kansas State matchup thoughts
As you know, I have a pick on Oklahoma and a 5* graded play ‘UNDER’ for the total on this game, featuring Oklahoma taking to the road to play Kansas State in a very significant Big-12 showdown.
The with Oklahoma installed as a 13 ½ point favorite. The line has revolved in a very narrow range from 13 to 14 points and is currently trading at 13 ½, -110 at the majority of sportsbooks. This simply means that the college football odds maker did an excellent job anticipating how the public would bet in the aftermath of Oklahoma’s horrid home loss to Texas Tech 41-38 and Kansas State’s huge win over intra-state rival Kanas.
Many posters including CBASS like Oklahoma and the fact that head coach Stoops nearly always has his team respond well after a loss. Stoops is a solid 15-4 ATS making 10.6 units per one unit wagered off a loss against a conference rival; 18-9 ATS making 8.1 units per one unit wagered after one or more consecutive straight up losses; 16-7 ATS making 8.3 units per one unit wagered after two or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Injury updates
Oklahoma Sooner, Dominique Whaley missed last week’s game due to illness and is probable for this game against Kansas State. He is the team leader with 627 rushing yards on 113 carries averaging 5.5 yards-per-rush. Now, fully rested, I strongly believe he will have a very big game.
Other injuries include tight end Austin Haywood, who is out for the season due to personal reasons and linebacker Tom Wort, who will miss this game with a sever back strain.
This is not a sole excuse why Oklahoma lost last week, but they were without four starters in cornerback Jamell Fleming, defensive tackle, Casey Walker, line backer Tom Wort, and as mentioned their leading rusher Dominique Whaley.
Whaley is ahead of peterson
Here is why I believe Whaley will have a big game. Byparing his athletic testing skills to that of former Sooner Adrian Peterson, we can immediately see why he may be one of the most under rated running backs in the nation. In the featured 40-yard dash, Peterson ran it in 4.37 seconds to Whalen’s 4.40 second. In the standing broad jump, Peterson leapt 10 feet 10 inches to Whalen’s 11 feet 1 inch range. They were timed to an identical 4.28 seconds in the short shuttle. In the vertical jump Whalen out did Peterson by a full inch with a jump of 40 ½ inches. In the bench press, Whaley maxed 355 to Peterson’s 365 pounds. The leg strength of Whaley is markedly stronger than Peterson. In the squat Waley maxed out with 60 more pounds squatting a massive 525 pounds. In the Power Clean, Whaley posted a lift of 355 pounds to Peterson’s 275 pounds.
I think this is markedly important as it shows that he has the athleticism of his predecessor and famous top-level running back. Moreover, he is fully rested and recuperated from his illness and certainly will want to make a big mark in this game.
The system
Supporting my 5* play on the Sooners in this matchup, is an outstanding system that has gone 32-9 ATS for 78% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after trailing in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half and now facing an opponent after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. Of the 41 plays made based on the criteria of this system 21 of them or 53% of the plays made covered the spread by seven or more points. This fact underscores my strong belief that Oklahoma will win this game by three or more touch downs.
